Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 92.723481 103.206752 113.859499 125.464245 137.720110 150.250715 164.002394
2025-08-17 75.036567 90.099438 106.032657 124.018876 143.640784 164.290527 187.559349
2025-08-24 65.158104 82.848288 102.120704 124.425590 149.294609 175.959440 206.506561
2025-08-31 56.510564 75.878713 97.566348 123.233194 152.395967 184.160555 221.047953
2025-09-07 51.039650 71.912208 95.845832 124.704321 158.000439 194.723277 237.822552
2025-09-14 46.673200 68.802025 94.737532 126.536413 163.720263 205.172653 254.259286
2025-09-21 41.491886 64.254901 91.565533 125.636328 166.022996 211.529589 265.892520
2025-09-28 36.202361 59.146227 87.367829 123.210684 166.284955 215.336008 274.437653
2025-10-05 34.670278 58.731081 88.820059 127.479594 174.345294 228.068180 293.142969
2025-10-12 32.562661 57.378747 88.967719 130.050991 180.305591 238.304261 308.936704
2025-10-19 29.300340 54.222337 86.640818 129.418262 182.300404 243.811010 319.182815
2025-10-26 26.348205 51.273612 84.411163 128.762866 184.150866 249.056811 329.050611
2025-11-02 24.135234 49.253990 83.330639 129.528675 187.745682 256.413441 341.470653
2025-11-09 21.538120 46.473199 81.095465 128.712714 189.317286 261.310218 350.971366
2025-11-16 19.567862 44.477684 79.807087 129.022870 192.209292 267.731565 362.227063
2025-11-23 17.289396 41.806508 77.447643 127.822082 193.125142 271.706228 370.529488
2025-11-30 16.031307 40.673263 77.174438 129.321635 197.402383 279.726772 383.635326
2025-12-07 14.980189 39.796633 77.210419 131.192687 202.123622 288.272765 397.364339
2025-12-14 13.249975 37.601687 75.234613 130.273635 203.223500 292.347862 405.697601
2025-12-21 11.286355 34.781280 72.196661 127.796784 202.233449 293.788119 410.802731
2025-12-28 11.130228 35.280203 74.126809 132.155549 210.095779 306.166548 429.145601
2026-01-04 10.579838 34.980980 74.818126 134.780451 215.696100 315.744299 444.102911
2026-01-11 9.345818 33.228563 73.204928 134.134598 216.985194 319.940435 452.506506